• SoftestSapphic@lemmy.world
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    2 days ago

    Protest votes did not meaningfully impact the election

    Its a pathetic excuse to hate fellow poor people

    • Rhoeri@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      As I said in another thread elsewhere on the same subject a while back:

      The Protest Vote Paradox™

      As we’ve all read time after time in the months leading up to the election, the Protest Vote™ simply states states that:

      “We refuse to vote against a Tyrant-Felon in order to send a clear and concise message that we will not stand for [roll D20 for random popular single issue], and alongside our refusal to vote against the Tyrant-Felon, is a collective hope that the aforementioned clear and concise message- if ignored, is received under unmitigated duress!”

      -Cut to Tyrant-Felon’s win, and the aftermath:

      Whether observed or not, the behavior of the Protest Voter will attempt to achieve the following:
      • Obnoxiously tell everyone: “We told you all what would happen!”
      • Onnoxiously claim there is: “No way protest voting could cause trump to win.”

      As both of these options cannot simultaneously be true in the same reality without breaking important time-space things that we would probably prefer not be broken- we are left with only a few logical conclusions:

      1. Protest voters have no idea what they’re talking about.
      2. Protest voters don’t understand the concept of hypocrisy.
      3. Protest voters have somehow learned to defy reality and become exempt from the concept of paradoxes, thus creating an entirely new study of theoretical science, known as Bulletproof Symbiotic Hypocrisy Theory, or BLsHt.

      Something, something, something Ted Talk.

      • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        This is just a long-winded, inverted version of the aphorism about liberals’ paradoxical view of progressives; they’re a small, niche group, and the Democrats shouldn’t try to appease them because they’ll just alienate mainstream voters by courting this insignificant block of voters. However, progressives are somehow also a large, powerful cabal that can be blamed for every major Democratic loss.

        • Rhoeri@lemmy.world
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          1 day ago

          Name one moment in history where abstaining from the bare mimimim to avoid catastrophic consequences results in a net gain.

          I ask this because you’re trying to make this party thing where I’d title paring attention and reading for context- you’ll see clearly that It’s an ACTION thing.

          Interesting that you went to progressives so quickly though. Especially since I never even mentioned the word.

          That says a LOT.

          • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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            1 day ago

            Name one moment in history where abstaining from the bare mimimim to avoid catastrophic consequences results in a net gain.

            Name a point where I said abstaining from voting was good. My point wasn’t that protest voting was good. It was that you could make the exact opposite point (with a lot fewer words) using your exact logic. Which means it’s not a good point.

            I ask this because you’re trying to make this party thing where I’d title paring [you mean “try paying,” maybe?] attention and reading for context- you’ll see clearly that It’s an ACTION thing.

            Again, fine, let’s make it an action thing. If the protest voters were so necessary to Harris’ election, why didn’t she take any actions to win them over? That was incredibly irresponsible of her.

            Are you beginning to see how all your arguments can be flipped just as easily to place the blame on the candidate instead of the voters? Do you think maybe that’s because, even though you’ve convinced yourself that what your saying is cold, hard logic, your actually just screaming your opinions at people?

            For the record, I voted for Harris out of harm reduction, and I wish she’d won. However, I believe that it is a candidates job to win an election, not the voters job to get them elected. If there was a significant contingent of voters withholding their vote, I think that candidate must have been doing a shitty job.

            Interesting that you went to progressives so quickly though. Especially since I never even mentioned the word.

            That says a LOT.

            Yeah, it says I saw more than 2 minutes of political coverage in 2024, so I knew that Harris wasn’t getting criticism for being too progressive. Grow up.

          • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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            1 day ago

            Yup, it was not lost on me that this was essentially Eco’s 8th feature of fascism. Not that the Democrats are fascists; they don’t match most of the other features, especially 6 (I don’t think it’d ever occurred to them to appeal to anyone’s frustrations), but it seems liberals have at least borrowed this rhetorical attack to punch left.

            • Eugene V. Debs' Ghost@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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              1 day ago

              I mean when you consider how much they benefit from Trump and his economic polices, it makes sense why they do. Not to meantion how many are some of the most bigoted people until its profitable enough. Scatch a liberal…

              • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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                1 day ago

                I mean, I tend to believe that they’re actually just a truly incompetent, cowardly bunch that are too afraid to fight and too stupid to realize that a party can’t simultaneously serve a working-class base and billionaire donors. That being said, I’ve been much more open to the controlled opposition theory since Schumer caved on the budget for no conceivable reason.

          • Rhoeri@lemmy.world
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            1 day ago

            Oh progressives are definitely weak. But numerous. A simple bare minimum vote would have stopped ALL of this from happening.

            But you couldn’t even do that. So yeah… weak as fuck if you ask me.

              • Rhoeri@lemmy.world
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                7 hours ago

                Then you’re clearly not who I’m talking about. I guess it’s either that simple reading comprehension is an issue for you, or you have a white knight complex.

                One of the two- but my point remains untouched regardless.

        • 13igTyme@lemmy.world
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          1 day ago

          Progressives could be the largest voting block and most still wouldn’t come out to vote. Why bother trying to gain the vote of a group that has historically low voting. There’s a reason Bernie didn’t win the primary despite massive grass roots movements.

            • 13igTyme@lemmy.world
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              1 day ago

              “Study using self-reported data shows that those more interested in politics are more likely to self-report data with post-election surveys. More at 11.”

              They literally say they are using self-reported post election surveys. Most people I know, including myself, have never done a post election survey. People that don’t vote also are not participating in post-election surveys. It’s an interesting study, but this is 100% textbook selection bias and I’m surprised Pew Research Center missed the mark on this one.

              If progressives voted in overwhelming numbers, then Bernie would have won the primary. I voted for Bernie, but clearly not many others did.

              • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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                1 day ago

                Not that I should even have to debate this, since my my source is the Pew Research Center and yours is, “most people I know,” but that’s a blatant misrepresentation of the methodology. The survey uses data from a group of randomly selected panelists, not self-reported post-election surveys.

                The American Trends Panel (ATP), created by Pew Research Center, is a nationally representative panel of randomly selected U.S. adults. Panelists participate via self-administered web surveys. …The ATP was created in 2014, with the first cohort of panelists invited to join the panel at the end of a large, national, landline and cellphone random-digit-dial survey that was conducted in both English and Spanish. Two additional recruitments were conducted using the same method in 2015 and 2017, respectively. Across these three surveys, a total of 19,718 adults were invited to join the ATP, of whom 9,942 (50%) agreed to participate.

                The only reference to self-reporting I found was people self-reporting whether or not they voted, and even then, that was independently verified. I’m pretty sure you clicked the first link you saw, scrolled down until you found this paragraph, and didn’t read it very carefully:

                Voter turnout and vote choice in the 2020 election is based on two different sources. First, self-reports of candidate choice were collected immediately after the general election in November 2020 (ATP W78). Secondly, ATP panelists were matched to commercial voter file databases to verify that they had indeed voted in the election. For more details, see “Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory.”

                Also, if Bernie’s failure to win the Democratic primary proves progressives don’t vote, then it stands to reason that Clinton and Harris’ defeat proves that moderates don’t vote either, right? I mean, it seems stupid to me to make broad, sweeping generalizations about voter behavior over something that has as many variables as an election, but if that’s what you want to do, then you must concede that Harris and Clinton prove that moderates don’t vote.

                • 13igTyme@lemmy.world
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                  1 day ago

                  Buddy, there’s nothing to debate. The “people I know” is in reference to the post election surveys. Something most people don’t participate in. Something your own quote says only 50% of those selected agreed to participate. It’s also not something I’m arguing, but you are choosing as a red herring.

                  It literally says, “Note Validated voters are citizens who said they voted in a post-election survey and were found to have voted in commercial voter files.”

                  #IT LITERALLY SAYS POST-ELECTION SURVEY

                  You even quoted a section saying, “Panelist participate via self-administered web surveys”

                  #IT LITERALLY SAYS SELF-ADMINISTERED

                  How fucking stupid are you that you prove my point when trying to pull a gotcha?

                  Furthermore, the Pew Research Center is not iron clad and immune to selection bias. They continue to recruit people for the panel and those interested participate, then they recruit more later. This goes back to me saying, “those interested in participating, vote more often.” Plus there is the caveat of surveys. Which are, at best, unreliable. If you understood anything about research, you would know that surveys are always carefully measured in terms of meaningfulness. People lie or misrepresent things ALL THE TIME.

                  #THIS IS VERY CLEARLY 100% SELECTION BIAS

                  You also can’t make a board sweeping generalization about Democrats not voting because many were vocal about it. You know what Progressives were vocal about, NOT VOTING. You’re even currently arguing with someone else about how not voting is somehow doing something positive. Like holy fuck. Every day I meet more and more fucking morons.

                  • pjwestin@lemmy.world
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                    1 day ago

                    Oh my God, please sit down, you walking Dunning-Kruger. Clearly the quotes were over your head, so I’m going to explain it using smaller words.

                    So, you’re looking at very small quote from a single graph that says, “Note Validated voters are citizens who said they voted in a post-election survey and were found to have voted in commercial voter files.” You think that means that this survey is conducted exclusively by people who just voted, but it’s not. It’s just explaining to you how they verified that people, who were already randomly selected for the survey, actually voted.

                    How these people were actually selected was described in my first quote, but since it went over your head, I’ll rephrase it for you; the respondents were randomly selected through a random sampling of phone numbers, both landline and cell. 50% of those people asked if they’d like to be included in the survey said yes, which was about 10,000 people. This took place between July 8th and July 18th of 2021.

                    I know it said, “self-administered,” at one point, and that was very confusing for you, but that isn’t describing how people were selected for the survey, it’s describing how they took the survey. They self-administered it online, but it was still sent out by Pew to randomly pre-selected candidates, not anyone who wanted to take it. Do you get it now?

                    So, just to be 100% clear, so you don’t get confused anymore, between July 8th and July 18th of 2021, Pew Research Center selected about 10,000 randomly selected Americans for a survey. They then self-administered that survey through a website shared with them by the Pew Research Center. They were asked about their votes in the last election, and while that information was self-reported, it was also independently verified with voter databases to ensure it was true. There are literally 2 Appendices of information attached to this survey that explain all of this.

                    So, A) no, this is not a selection problem, you just don’t understand the selection process, and B) if it seems like everyone else is a, “fucking moron,” well, I’ve actually got a theory on why that is.

    • 13igTyme@lemmy.world
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      2 days ago

      77 million voted for Trump. 75 million votes for Harris. Just under 3 million voted for a third party candidate of some kind. 90 million didn’t vote but were registered to vote. We don’t know the number of potentially eligible but not registered people there are. The US has an estimated 340 million population. An estimated 260 million are adults.

      Care to shut the fuck up or do you want to say more stupid shit?

      • SoftestSapphic@lemmy.world
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        1 day ago

        It’s normal in US elections for less than half the population to vote.

        For local elections it’s less than a fith.

        The protesters were almost all young people 30 and under, which when we look at the numbers, that group didn’t vote any differently than any other election, same as always they don’t vote in any meaningful capacity, so they didn’t effect the election in any meaningful way.

        I would love it if young people voted, but they don’t.

        Care to shut the fuck up or do you want to say more stupid shit? I know you won’t tho, keep convincing yourself of reasons to attack your fellow slaves XD