StinkyFingerItchyBum

  • 0 Posts
  • 12 Comments
Joined 2 months ago
cake
Cake day: February 26th, 2025

help-circle


  • I respect what you are saying, and agree our LLM are just superficial pseudo communication engines. Theories of intelligence differ, but I don’t think human intelligence, i.e. IQ of 100 is really all that far ahead of LLM. Just talk to your average person. We are easily wrong. We have bias and error. We repeat and amplify untruths and make mistakes.

    It could be fewer breakthoughs than you think to get there. Not because the tech is so advanced, but because we are not that special.

    Super-intelligence is just degrees better.


  • Like all technology, the development times get shorter and shorter. No one can predict the future and specific dates are meaningless, but it is plausible that, stumbles aside, AI achieves superintelligence in the very near future. My gut says sooner than later with 90% probability by 2040. <-remember I said dates are meaningless. ;)

    The world is not ready for it. It will be more destructive than constructive. May god have mercy on us all. I hope I am wrong.



  • I agree with most of what you said, but feel there is more to it. Slaves of the past had to risk everything despite having little to nothing. The same applies to modern day wage slaves.

    One point of value of the article is the history lesson that the abolition of slavery took massive efforts from the people at the top and the bottom to get the job done. It had to be envisioned, articulated and proponents recruited and plans made and remade to shift civilization to make a new reality.

    The rise in populism is not a natural phenomenon either. Intellectuals like Bannon, and Harper and Farage et al articulate a vision, recruit proponents, high and few at first, then wide and low. They have devised plans and carried them out over decades.

    If we want anything other than a deepening of this distopia into the stuff of nightmares, it will take the same efforts and more. Time is not on our side.








  • The Dems are not one party, but factions. There are legit opposition members, but the party is controlled by the captured opposition faction. Their job was to give the illusion of choice and legitimate democracy while playing stupid as the fascists eroded all your rights. They never undid the harm republicans brought in even when they could.

    Legitimate dems were only permitted to give an aire of legitimacy to the whole dog and pony show. Yes voting matters, but the real battle was lost in the candidate selection within the DNC, where only the captured opposition are allowed to dominate.