I think we might overestimate how qualified a junior doctor is after doing all the exams. This article (from 2009, well before LLMs) says junior doctors screw up in 8% of prescriptions they write, with half of the mistakes “potentially significant”. This is after any chance at having a supervising doctor review. It says pharmacists generally save the day by spotting the errors.
I also found local numbers showing about 16% of junior doctors never make it through training (the article is saying it’s actually 40%, but 16% is their “normal”). That will include burnout and other reasons for not continuing, but I’m pretty sure with such a decent proportion of people dropping out you can expect the ones that haven’t taken in enough understanding despite passing their exams are commonly dropping out as part of that group, and though LLMs may have increased the pool I doubt we can assume these people make it through training without learning what they need to know. Becoming a doctor is just so intense that it doesn’t seem likely.
As has been pointed out by someone else, our concern should probably lie in those that pass exams then go on to do medical (or other) roles without any supervision period.






I guess I don’t really understand where they might fit in to an emergency room scenario. My experience with Nurse Practitioners is as a person that can take on some basic GP tasks to lighten the load.
For example, on of my kids has asthma and uses a regular inhaler. Instead of taking doctors time, they can book you in with the Nurse Practitioner to get a new prescription. That makes sense to me.
I do see that here, Nurse Practitioners are given a much wider scope including being able to assess test results and make a diagnosis, though I didn’t exactly read all the material thoroughly (heaps on info in the downloads on the right on this page, in case someone reading is interested).
It does say they need 4 years of experience and 300 hours of clinical learning (from what I can tell, they decide they want to be a Nurse Practitioner and they enter a programme of focused learning in a clinical setting). This seems at least more than what is required where the other user lives so I feel a little better, even if 300 hours is only like 7 weeks, at least they need that 4 years of experience 😅